Análisis Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.74
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.4%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+64%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 1959 |
AAA
1 - 2
KOL
61%
20%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1959 |
KOL
5 - 1
ROT
79%
13%
8%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 1959 |
SVS
1 - 3
KOL
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 feb. 1959 |
KOL
3 - 1
DUI
80%
13%
8%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 feb. 1959 |
WHE
1 - 1
KOL
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 1959 |
ROT
1 - 0
F95
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1959 |
MSV
2 - 1
ROT
55%
22%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 1959 |
ROT
1 - 0
S04
59%
21%
21%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 feb. 1959 |
PRE
1 - 2
ROT
60%
20%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 1959 |
BOC
1 - 2
ROT
65%
19%
17%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |