Análisis Köln vs Valencia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.86
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.6%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 1964 |
KOL
2 - 1
STU
79%
12%
9%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 may. 1964 |
VCF
4 - 1
KOL
51%
21%
28%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1964 |
KAI
3 - 3
KOL
24%
23%
53%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 1964 |
KOL
3 - 0
HAN
89%
7%
4%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1964 |
KOL
5 - 2
BVB
70%
16%
14%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 1964 |
VAL
0 - 5
VCF
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 may. 1964 |
VCF
4 - 1
KOL
51%
21%
28%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1964 |
VCF
2 - 0
VAL
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 1964 |
VCF
4 - 0
ZAR
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1964 |
ATM
0 - 1
VCF
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |