Análisis Alcorcón vs Numancia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 oct. 2013 |
EIB
0 - 0
ALC
28%
29%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALA
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 0
ALC
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 sep. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 1
PON
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2013 |
MLL
1 - 4
ALC
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 0
SPO
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 1
NUM
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 2013 |
NUM
3 - 1
SAB
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 2013 |
CCF
3 - 1
NUM
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 0
NUM
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |