Análisis AgD Ceuta vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
18.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2008 |
TAL
2 - 4
AGD
31%
30%
39%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 0
RJA
50%
28%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
ALG
0 - 3
AGD
24%
30%
46%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 0
ALC
57%
25%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
MER
0 - 1
AGD
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2008 |
LUC
5 - 0
BET
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2008 |
POR
0 - 2
LUC
48%
28%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 4
MAR
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 abr. 2008 |
MAZ
1 - 0
LUC
35%
28%
38%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
LUC
1 - 1
LOR
26%
30%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |