Análisis Ajaccio vs Caen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ago. 2001 |
CHA
0 - 2
AJA
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2001 |
AJA
4 - 2
ASN
31%
29%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 may. 2001 |
LMU
1 - 1
AJA
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 0
FCM
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2001 |
CHA
2 - 2
AJA
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ago. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 0
ESW
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2001 |
GRE
4 - 3
CAE
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 may. 2001 |
CAN
2 - 0
CAE
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 may. 2001 |
CAE
4 - 0
ANG
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2001 |
LMU
1 - 1
CAE
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |