Análisis Ajax vs Athletic
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.39
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 1978 |
AJA
4 - 0
VVV
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1978 |
UTR
1 - 4
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1978 |
ATH
2 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 sep. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 sep. 1978 |
ZWO
0 - 3
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 1978 |
VCF
0 - 0
ATH
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1978 |
ATH
4 - 1
RAC
77%
15%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1978 |
ATH
2 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 sep. 1978 |
SEV
0 - 0
ATH
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 1978 |
ATH
2 - 0
RAY
79%
13%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |