Análisis Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.16
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11.1%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 1961 |
AJA
1 - 0
RAP
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 5
AJA
25%
21%
54%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 1961 |
ENS
2 - 5
AJA
30%
22%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1961 |
AJA
7 - 4
FOR
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1961 |
WIL
3 - 5
AJA
27%
21%
52%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 1961 |
AZA
1 - 1
GRO
49%
23%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1961 |
GRO
1 - 0
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 1961 |
AZA
1 - 2
PSV
38%
23%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 1961 |
FEY
6 - 0
AZA
85%
9%
6%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1961 |
AZA
2 - 4
VVV
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |