Análisis Ajax vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
94.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
4.54
Goles esperados
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.4%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.7%
8-0
2.7%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.6%
7-0
4.8%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.6%
6-0
7.4%
7-1
2.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
10.6%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
14.8%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
3.5%
Empate
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
3.5%
1.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ago. 1971 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
ADO
77%
15%
9%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 1971 |
TWE
0 - 2
AJA
38%
26%
35%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 1971 |
GAE
4 - 1
AJA
27%
27%
46%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 jun. 1971 |
AJA
2 - 0
PAN
90%
7%
4%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ago. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 0
BOS
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 1971 |
VOL
1 - 0
EXC
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 ago. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 1
TEL
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 1971 |
TEL
1 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 may. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 0
VOL
50%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |