Análisis Ajax vs Utrecht
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.21
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.1%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 mar. 1974 |
HFC
0 - 1
AJA
16%
25%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 1974 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1974 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 1974 |
TWE
0 - 0
AJA
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 mar. 1974 |
UTR
4 - 3
PSV
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 1974 |
GAE
2 - 1
UTR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 1974 |
HFC
0 - 2
UTR
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1974 |
UTR
2 - 1
AZA
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 feb. 1974 |
FEY
2 - 1
UTR
81%
13%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |