Análisis Ajax vs Utrecht
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
90.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.72
Goles esperados
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.2%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
6.6%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.6%
2.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 6
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1986 |
AJA
4 - 0
OLP
94%
4%
2%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 oct. 1986 |
AJA
4 - 0
VVV
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 oct. 1986 |
AJA
6 - 2
FOR
91%
6%
2%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1986 |
AJA
5 - 0
BUR
91%
7%
2%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 1986 |
UTR
4 - 1
FOR
54%
24%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1986 |
BVV
2 - 2
UTR
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1986 |
UTR
2 - 0
GAE
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 sep. 1986 |
SPA
3 - 0
UTR
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 1986 |
UTR
1 - 4
PSV
18%
23%
59%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |