Análisis Ajax vs Utrecht
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.53
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 2003 |
BRU
2 - 1
AJA
37%
23%
40%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
53%
22%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 1
ACM
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
ADO
1 - 4
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 dic. 2003 |
WIL
0 - 2
UTR
47%
23%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2003 |
UTR
3 - 1
RJC
54%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 2003 |
AUX
4 - 0
UTR
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
RBC
1 - 1
UTR
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
UTR
1 - 0
RKC
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |