Análisis Ajax vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.96
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.2%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
11.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1964 |
NAC
1 - 2
AJA
35%
23%
42%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1964 |
AJA
1 - 3
SPA
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 sep. 1964 |
MVV
2 - 2
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1964 |
AJA
0 - 3
DWS
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 1964 |
ADO
2 - 1
AJA
30%
22%
48%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
TEL
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1964 |
SIT
1 - 4
HER
45%
24%
32%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1964 |
VVD
1 - 4
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 sep. 1964 |
HER
4 - 2
NAC
44%
23%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 ago. 1964 |
SPA
0 - 2
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |