Análisis Ajax vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.86
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.7%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 0
UTR
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2019 |
CHL
4 - 4
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 nov. 2019 |
ZWO
2 - 4
AJA
8%
15%
77%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 0
FEY
71%
17%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 nov. 2019 |
HER
6 - 1
VVV
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2019 |
RKC
2 - 0
HER
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 2019 |
HER
4 - 3
RKC
70%
17%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 oct. 2019 |
HER
4 - 0
ZWO
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 2019 |
FEY
1 - 1
HER
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |