Análisis Ajax vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.13
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.1%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.55
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 1971 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
19%
25%
57%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1971 |
SHS
0 - 3
AJA
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 1971 |
AJA
3 - 0
ATM
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 1971 |
PSV
0 - 3
AJA
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 1971 |
ATM
1 - 0
AJA
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 1971 |
UTR
0 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1971 |
NAC
2 - 0
HFC
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 1971 |
NAC
3 - 4
SHS
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 1971 |
NAC
0 - 1
TWE
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 1971 |
AZA
2 - 1
NAC
32%
30%
39%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |