Análisis Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.88
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.9%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 1962 |
GRO
1 - 0
AJA
23%
21%
56%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1962 |
AJA
8 - 0
DWS
77%
14%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 ene. 1962 |
ENS
2 - 0
AJA
27%
21%
52%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 ene. 1962 |
AJA
3 - 2
VVD
71%
16%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1961 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
18%
18%
64%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 1962 |
SPA
3 - 1
FOR
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1962 |
NAC
3 - 2
SPA
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 1962 |
SPA
1 - 3
FEY
32%
23%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 1962 |
WIL
0 - 1
SPA
55%
21%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1961 |
SPA
4 - 2
VOL
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |