Análisis Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.03
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.3%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
4.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 1969 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
15%
24%
61%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1969 |
AJA
4 - 3
GAE
82%
12%
7%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1968 |
ADO
2 - 5
AJA
32%
26%
42%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
89%
7%
4%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1968 |
DWS
2 - 1
AJA
24%
26%
51%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 1969 |
SPA
5 - 0
FOR
61%
21%
17%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1969 |
NEC
0 - 1
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 dic. 1968 |
GAE
2 - 1
SPA
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 dic. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 0
GRO
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1968 |
ADO
0 - 0
SPA
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |