Análisis Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.54
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.3%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 1973 |
EXC
0 - 1
AJA
8%
16%
76%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1973 |
RMA
0 - 1
AJA
51%
24%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 1973 |
AJA
5 - 0
ADO
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 1973 |
BOS
1 - 2
AJA
13%
23%
64%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1973 |
AJA
2 - 1
RMA
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 1973 |
SPA
2 - 1
TEL
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 1
SPA
22%
26%
53%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1973 |
SPA
2 - 0
GRO
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1973 |
FEY
3 - 3
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1973 |
SPA
2 - 2
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |