Análisis Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.87
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.2%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 2000 |
RJC
3 - 0
AJA
28%
24%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2000 |
AJA
5 - 2
NEC
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2000 |
AJA
0 - 1
TWE
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2000 |
FOR
2 - 0
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2000 |
TWE
0 - 0
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 1
TWE
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2000 |
FEY
1 - 2
SPA
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 3
FOR
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 2000 |
RJC
4 - 1
SPA
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2000 |
SPA
3 - 1
RKC
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |