Análisis Ajax vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.8%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.54
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ago. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
FCR
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 2
RJC
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 3
AJA
24%
24%
53%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2016 |
PAO
1 - 2
AJA
28%
25%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 jul. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
PAO
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ago. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
WIL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 4
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 jul. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 1
MLL
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 jul. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
GEN
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2016 |
WIL
8 - 1
GRA
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |