Preferente Murcia Jor. 19

Análisis Alberca vs CF Base Abarán

Alberca CF Base Abarán
18 ELO 20
4.2% Tilt -2.1%
20587º Ranking ELO general 30789º
6259º Ranking ELO país 9307º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
37.6%
Alberca
24.9%
Empate
37.5%
CF Base Abarán

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
37.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Alberca
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
CF Base Abarán
1.44
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Alberca
CF Base Abarán
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Alberca
Alberca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 ene. 2009
JAV
Javalí-Ñora
1 - 0
Alberca
ALB
29%
25%
46%
18 14 4 0
04 ene. 2009
ALB
Alberca
3 - 2
Olímpico de Totana
OLI
39%
24%
37%
17 19 2 +1
21 dic. 2008
ALQ
Alquerias
2 - 0
Alberca
ALB
27%
24%
48%
18 13 5 -1
17 dic. 2008
FOR
Club Fortuna
2 - 0
Alberca
ALB
60%
21%
19%
19 22 3 -1
14 dic. 2008
ALB
Alberca
0 - 5
Santiago El Mayor
SAN
65%
20%
15%
20 16 4 -1

Partidos

CF Base Abarán
CF Base Abarán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 ene. 2009
ABA
CF Base Abarán
1 - 1
CD Bullense
BUL
36%
25%
39%
20 24 4 0
04 ene. 2009
CAR
FC Cartagena B
0 - 1
CF Base Abarán
ABA
65%
20%
15%
20 26 6 0
27 dic. 2008
MAR
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
1 - 2
CF Base Abarán
ABA
77%
15%
8%
19 39 20 +1
21 dic. 2008
ABA
CF Base Abarán
4 - 2
La Hoya
LAH
28%
25%
47%
17 24 7 +2
14 dic. 2008
PUT
Puente Tocinos
0 - 1
CF Base Abarán
ABA
71%
18%
11%
16 25 9 +1