Análisis CD Alcalá vs Baza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
32.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ago. 2007 |
MER
0 - 1
ALC
40%
29%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2007 |
MER
2 - 0
ALC
34%
29%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 may. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 2
BAZ
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 may. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 1
ALC
57%
25%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 3
RJA
36%
29%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ago. 2007 |
BAZ
0 - 0
POR
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2007 |
BAZ
2 - 2
EXT
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 2
BAZ
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 may. 2007 |
BAZ
1 - 0
AGU
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
CDL
3 - 1
BAZ
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |