Análisis CD Alcalá vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
29.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.3%
Empate
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
41.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ene. 2008 |
ALG
2 - 2
ALC
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2008 |
BAZ
2 - 1
ALC
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 ene. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 1
MER
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 1
AGU
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 dic. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 0
ALC
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ene. 2008 |
RJA
0 - 2
MER
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 2
RJA
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2008 |
RJA
2 - 0
CAR
36%
30%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 ene. 2008 |
RJA
2 - 0
MEL
39%
30%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 dic. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 1
RJA
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |