Análisis Alcoyano vs Pego
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-25%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2004 |
DEN
1 - 1
ALC
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
ALC
2 - 0
VCF
57%
24%
20%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
ELD
1 - 1
ALC
37%
28%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 0
VIL
41%
25%
33%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
SPO
3 - 1
ALC
35%
28%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
Partidos
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2004 |
PEG
1 - 3
LEV
28%
28%
44%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
PEG
1 - 2
DEN
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
VCF
2 - 1
PEG
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 1
ELD
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 1
PEG
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |