Análisis Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
27.2%
Empate
0-0
11%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
20.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ago. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 1
ALI
22%
28%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2006 |
ALI
3 - 1
SAM
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2006 |
MEL
3 - 2
ALI
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 0
GAL
60%
25%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALI
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ago. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 3
SBO
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2006 |
SPC
0 - 1
UNI
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 jul. 2006 |
UNI
4 - 1
SPO
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2006 |
BOL
4 - 1
UNI
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 jul. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 1
CIE
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |