Análisis América vs Toluca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
67.8%
Probabilidad gana
2.13
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13%
Probabilidad gana
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 sep. 2020 |
PUE
2 - 3
AME
19%
23%
57%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2020 |
AME
3 - 1
MAZ
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 2
AME
21%
24%
55%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2020 |
AME
1 - 3
MON
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 ago. 2020 |
QRO
4 - 1
AME
18%
23%
60%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 sep. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2020 |
QRO
4 - 1
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 ago. 2020 |
PUE
4 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2020 |
TOL
1 - 0
CHI
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 2
TIG
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |