Análisis Arganda vs Toscal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.49
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17.1%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 abr. 1978 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ARG
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 0
ALB
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 1978 |
PLA
0 - 0
ARG
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1978 |
ARG
4 - 0
GUA
76%
14%
9%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 1978 |
ARG
1 - 1
CDT
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 abr. 1978 |
TCF
3 - 2
CDT
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 1978 |
LEG
3 - 0
TCF
54%
22%
23%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 1978 |
TCF
1 - 2
COL
73%
16%
12%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 abr. 1978 |
CAR
2 - 0
TCF
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 mar. 1978 |
TCF
5 - 0
SDA
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |