Análisis Argentino Merlo vs Def. Unidos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
ARM
33%
30%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2011 |
ARM
1 - 3
TAL
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 oct. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
ARM
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
ARM
1 - 2
LIN
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2011 |
MID
1 - 0
ARM
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 nov. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 0
LUJ
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2011 |
SMG
0 - 0
CAD
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 1
SAC
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
JJU
1 - 0
CAD
44%
28%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2011 |
ALE
3 - 0
CAD
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |