Análisis Arosa vs Choco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-50%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 1966 |
COX
3 - 0
ARO
47%
25%
28%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1966 |
ARO
1 - 1
CEL
69%
19%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 1966 |
ATO
2 - 0
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 1966 |
ARO
2 - 1
ALO
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 1966 |
BOU
0 - 0
ARO
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 1966 |
CHO
0 - 2
RCF
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1966 |
CDO
2 - 1
CHO
90%
8%
2%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 1966 |
CHO
1 - 2
BET
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 1966 |
ARE
3 - 0
CHO
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 1966 |
CHO
1 - 2
GRA
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |