Análisis Arosa vs Choco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-33%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
ARO
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2011 |
UDA
0 - 3
ARO
55%
22%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 ene. 2011 |
ARO
0 - 1
GRA
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2011 |
ATO
2 - 2
ARO
59%
22%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2011 |
ARO
0 - 2
PON
37%
26%
37%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 feb. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
GRA
44%
26%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2011 |
ATO
0 - 2
CHO
53%
24%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 1
PON
37%
27%
36%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 ene. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 0
CHO
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 ene. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 1
CRU
59%
23%
18%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |