Análisis Arsenal vs Derby County
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
72%
Probabilidad gana
1.99
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
8.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 1989 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1989 |
EVE
3 - 0
ARS
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 oct. 1989 |
TOT
2 - 1
ARS
35%
27%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1989 |
ARS
4 - 0
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1989 |
PLY
1 - 6
ARS
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 1989 |
DER
2 - 1
SHW
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1989 |
DER
0 - 1
CHL
44%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1989 |
DER
3 - 1
CRY
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1989 |
DER
5 - 0
CAM
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 1989 |
ASV
1 - 0
DER
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |