Análisis Varese vs Livorno
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
45.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 1
VAR
36%
29%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 0
REG
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 1
VAR
33%
28%
40%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 2
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 0
VAR
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASC
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIV
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2013 |
LIV
2 - 0
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
LIV
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2013 |
VER
1 - 1
LIV
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |