Quinta Suiza Jor. 6

Análisis Ascona vs Hergiswil

Ascona Hergiswil
27 ELO 31
3.2% Tilt -2.4%
23724º Ranking ELO general 23739º
238º Ranking ELO país 253º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
39%
Ascona
21.9%
Empate
39.1%
Hergiswil

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
Ascona
1.8
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
39.1%
Win probability
Hergiswil
1.8
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO12.814.816.918.920.922.92527293133.135.137.139.141.243.2-56.9%-48.9%-40.9%-32.9%-25%-17%-9%-1%7%15%23%31%39%47%55%63%70.9%78.9%86.9%94.9%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Ascona
-20%
-30%
Hergiswil

Progresión del ELO

25º26º27º28º29º30º31ºOct .13Jan .14May .14Aug .14
Ascona
Hergiswil
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Ascona
Ascona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 sep. 2014
IBA
Ibach
2 - 0
Ascona
ASC
29%
23%
48%
30 22 8 0
30 ago. 2014
ASC
Ascona
3 - 3
Hochdorf
HOC
61%
20%
19%
30 25 5 0
23 ago. 2014
MAL
Malters
0 - 1
Ascona
ASC
19%
21%
59%
29 18 11 +1
16 ago. 2014
ASC
Ascona
2 - 1
Gunzwil
GUN
56%
21%
23%
29 26 3 0
09 ago. 2014
CAS
AS Castello
2 - 0
Ascona
ASC
42%
23%
35%
30 27 3 -1

Partidos

Hergiswil
Hergiswil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 sep. 2014
HER
Hergiswil
2 - 1
Sarnen
SAR
53%
23%
24%
30 28 2 0
02 sep. 2014
HER
Hergiswil
1 - 0
Buochs
BUO
28%
22%
50%
28 35 7 +2
30 ago. 2014
ESC
Eschenbach
3 - 1
Hergiswil
HER
28%
23%
49%
30 25 5 -2
23 ago. 2014
HER
Hergiswil
2 - 1
Tuggen
TUG
13%
18%
69%
28 55 27 +2
16 ago. 2014
ZOF
SC Zofingen
1 - 2
Hergiswil
HER
63%
19%
18%
27 34 7 +1