Análisis Aston Villa vs Chelsea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
22.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.89
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
51%
Probabilidad gana
1.48
Goles esperados
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 2012 |
ARS
3 - 0
ASV
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2012 |
ASV
1 - 0
FUL
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2012 |
BBU
1 - 1
ASV
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2012 |
WIG
0 - 0
ASV
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2012 |
ASV
0 - 1
MAC
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 mar. 2012 |
SLB
0 - 1
CHL
40%
25%
35%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2012 |
CHL
0 - 0
TOT
64%
20%
16%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
CHL
53%
24%
24%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
CHL
5 - 2
LEI
84%
12%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2012 |
CHL
4 - 1
NAP
67%
19%
13%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |