Championship Jor. 3

Análisis Aston Villa vs Southampton

Aston Villa Southampton
79 ELO 58
29.5% Tilt 9.5%
54º Ranking ELO general 444º
Ranking ELO país 23º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
91%
Aston Villa
6%
Empate
3%
Southampton

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
90.7%
Win probability
Aston Villa
4.15
Goles esperados
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.4%
6-0
5%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.9%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.4%
6%
Empate
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
5.9%
3%
Win probability
Southampton
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Aston Villa
+10%
-9%
Southampton

Progresión del ELO

Aston Villa
Southampton
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 sep. 1936
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
26%
21%
53%
79 61 18 0
29 ago. 1936
SWA
Swansea City
1 - 2
Aston Villa
ASV
26%
22%
52%
79 62 17 0
25 abr. 1936
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 4
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
71%
15%
15%
80 76 4 -1
18 abr. 1936
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
67%
17%
16%
80 88 8 0
13 abr. 1936
WOL
Wolves
2 - 2
Aston Villa
ASV
61%
18%
21%
80 80 0 0

Partidos

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 ago. 1936
DON
Doncaster Rovers
2 - 0
Southampton
SOU
50%
25%
25%
60 55 5 0
29 ago. 1936
SOU
Southampton
3 - 2
Chesterfield
CHE
54%
23%
23%
59 61 2 +1
25 abr. 1936
BAR
Barnsley
3 - 1
Southampton
SOU
62%
21%
17%
61 59 2 -2
18 abr. 1936
SOU
Southampton
1 - 3
Newcastle
NEW
32%
23%
45%
62 73 11 -1
13 abr. 1936
SOU
Southampton
1 - 0
Blackpool
BPO
44%
25%
31%
61 70 9 +1