Análisis Atlético Madrileño vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético Madrileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jun. 1996 |
RJA
0 - 1
ATB
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 may. 1996 |
ATB
3 - 0
OSA
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 may. 1996 |
ATB
2 - 1
TAL
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 may. 1996 |
RMC
1 - 2
ATB
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1996 |
CDO
1 - 0
ATB
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jun. 1996 |
RJA
0 - 1
ATB
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 may. 1996 |
FIG
0 - 0
RJA
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 may. 1996 |
NOV
0 - 0
RJA
29%
30%
41%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1996 |
RJA
1 - 0
POL
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1996 |
SEV
0 - 0
RJA
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |