Análisis Mancha Real vs Alhaurín de la Torre
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-39%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 2009 |
MAN
3 - 0
BAE
64%
22%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
PUE
2 - 3
MAN
22%
26%
53%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 0
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 3
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 nov. 2008 |
MAN
5 - 0
MIJ
63%
22%
15%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Alhaurín de la Torre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 dic. 2008 |
UDT
2 - 2
ALH
24%
26%
50%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2008 |
ALH
0 - 0
NER
47%
26%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 1
ALH
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2008 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALC
74%
17%
10%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 nov. 2008 |
FUE
0 - 3
ALH
58%
23%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |