Análisis Atlético Marbella vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.2%
Empate
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
29%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
11%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético Marbella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 1986 |
AMA
3 - 1
JUV
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1986 |
ILI
0 - 1
AMA
18%
27%
55%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1986 |
AMA
0 - 0
COI
82%
13%
5%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1986 |
EST
0 - 0
AMA
22%
28%
50%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 1986 |
AMA
3 - 2
BAZ
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 1986 |
ORI
1 - 0
RJA
58%
24%
17%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1986 |
RJA
2 - 3
PUE
52%
26%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1986 |
ALG
3 - 1
RJA
41%
31%
28%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 abr. 1986 |
RJA
3 - 0
LOR
63%
23%
14%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 abr. 1986 |
MNC
1 - 2
RJA
57%
25%
19%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |