Análisis At. Nacional vs Libertad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
45.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28%
Probabilidad gana
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
45%
28%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 feb. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
EQU
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEP
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2019 |
HUI
1 - 1
NAC
23%
28%
49%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 3
OLI
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
45%
28%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 feb. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 1
LIB
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 feb. 2019 |
LIB
5 - 1
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 feb. 2019 |
LIB
4 - 0
GEN
63%
22%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |