Copa Colombia Final
Global 2-2
Análisis At. Nacional vs Millonarios
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 nov. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
MIL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 3
TOL
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 nov. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
PER
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 1
AME
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
MIL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 nov. 2023 |
EQU
2 - 1
MIL
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 nov. 2023 |
CUC
1 - 1
MIL
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |