Análisis Atletico Rafaela vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.95
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 2005 |
CHA
4 - 0
RAF
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2005 |
RAF
2 - 1
JAN
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2005 |
SAR
1 - 1
RAF
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2005 |
TAL
1 - 1
RAF
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2005 |
RAF
1 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 mar. 2005 |
DEF
2 - 2
TAL
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
DEF
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 feb. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 1
HUR
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 feb. 2005 |
SMA
3 - 0
DEF
34%
26%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 feb. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 1
CAU
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |