Análisis Aucas vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2004 |
CUE
0 - 0
AUC
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2004 |
AUC
4 - 2
NAC
34%
28%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 0
AUC
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
AUC
2 - 2
QUI
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 1
AUC
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 6
LDU
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2004 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 1
MAC
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
CUE
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
CUE
2 - 2
MAC
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |