Análisis Avaí vs Chapecoense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
26.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.89
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
29.1%
Empate
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
44.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 dic. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 1
AVA
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 3
OES
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 nov. 2020 |
CUI
2 - 1
AVA
48%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
AVA
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 0
CON
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 1
CHA
28%
29%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
CUI
52%
28%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
CHA
29%
29%
43%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 nov. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
CRZ
36%
30%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 3
CHA
28%
29%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |