Análisis AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.61
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ago. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 1
AZA
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2010 |
PSV
3 - 1
AZA
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2010 |
AZA
2 - 0
FCA
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2010 |
AZA
1 - 1
GRO
58%
22%
19%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 ago. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
AZA
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ago. 2010 |
EXC
4 - 2
NEC
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2010 |
EXC
3 - 2
FEY
24%
24%
51%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 ago. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 jul. 2010 |
GAE
3 - 0
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 abr. 2010 |
2 - 5
EXC
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |