Análisis Bardena vs Alera
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.45
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.4
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-42%
-80%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 2022 |
PUY
2 - 3
BAR
61%
18%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 3
LUN
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
TAR
13%
17%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2022 |
LUN
1 - 1
BAR
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 3
OLI
57%
21%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 3
AGR
64%
17%
19%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2022 |
UNC
3 - 1
ALE
44%
20%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 2
LUN
36%
21%
43%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 3
ALE
35%
21%
44%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2022 |
ALE
4 - 2
UNC
48%
19%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |