Análisis CD Basconia vs SD Gernika
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+92%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 0
LON
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
LEM
4 - 0
BAS
38%
27%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
AUR
0 - 1
BAS
19%
27%
55%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 1
ZAL
73%
17%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
ARE
1 - 3
BAS
21%
27%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
Partidos
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2004 |
GER
0 - 0
LEM
32%
29%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
GER
2 - 0
AUR
59%
25%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
LON
1 - 0
GER
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
GER
1 - 2
AUR
54%
27%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
ZAL
1 - 1
GER
34%
30%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |