Análisis Basel vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 1996 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 4
LAU
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 ago. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCL
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 ago. 1996 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 1996 |
BAS
4 - 5
GCZ
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 1996 |
BIF
5 - 0
FCA
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1996 |
FCA
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1996 |
STG
1 - 1
FCA
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 1996 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCA
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 1996 |
FCA
1 - 0
YOB
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |