Análisis Basel vs Luzern
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 2000 |
SER
1 - 1
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2000 |
BAS
3 - 1
STG
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2000 |
YVE
0 - 1
BAS
36%
26%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2000 |
NEX
1 - 2
BAS
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 2000 |
BAS
1 - 1
NEX
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 2000 |
FCL
1 - 2
STG
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2000 |
FCL
1 - 1
SER
36%
26%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2000 |
GCZ
0 - 2
FCL
79%
14%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 may. 2000 |
ZUR
7 - 2
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 2000 |
LAU
3 - 1
FCL
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |