Análisis Basel vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ago. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCV
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 3
GCZ
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2006 |
STG
3 - 2
BAS
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2006 |
TOB
0 - 0
BAS
29%
23%
48%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 jul. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 0
SCH
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ago. 2006 |
THU
1 - 0
SCH
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2006 |
GCZ
4 - 1
THU
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 jul. 2006 |
THU
0 - 0
YOB
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 jul. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 1
THU
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2006 |
THU
3 - 0
NEX
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |