Análisis Basel vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.47
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.2%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 oct. 2019 |
STG
0 - 0
BAS
15%
20%
66%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 2
BAS
37%
24%
40%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2019 |
BAS
4 - 0
ZUR
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 2019 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 2019 |
THU
0 - 2
FCL
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2019 |
STG
4 - 0
THU
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2019 |
THU
1 - 1
YOB
16%
20%
64%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2019 |
ZUR
2 - 0
THU
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 sep. 2019 |
STA
0 - 1
THU
12%
17%
71%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |