Análisis Benfica vs CSKA Sofia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.18
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.8%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 1971 |
TIR
0 - 3
SLB
9%
16%
75%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1971 |
SLB
2 - 1
BMA
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1971 |
SLB
3 - 1
SSW
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 sep. 1971 |
VST
1 - 3
SLB
42%
26%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 sep. 1971 |
SLB
1 - 1
FAB
87%
9%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Partidos
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 1971 |
BOT
1 - 2
CSK
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1971 |
CSK
4 - 2
BER
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1971 |
AKA
2 - 3
CSK
39%
28%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1971 |
CSK
6 - 1
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1971 |
PAR
0 - 1
CSK
33%
23%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |